It’s one of the most unpredictable Oscar races in years…so it’s lucky I’m here to tell you who is going to win!
Based on a stellar, and perhaps fortunate, past record for picking the winners based on close observation of Oscar voting habits down the years and by taking the pulse of the Hollywood community while attending events leading up to the ceremony, my predictions for who will take home the statues on February 28 follow.
I’ve listed the nominees in each major category, followed by which I thought was the best performance and which one I think will actually win the Academy Award and why.
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Book to join my special Tourific Escapes Oscar edition Movie Locations Tour on February 27 and I’ll hear your tips for glory and elaborate on the reasons for my choices. On Oscar day itself, I’ll have the pleasure of again being part of the BBC Radio 5 team broadcasting live on the greatest event in showbiz. Here goes…
Best Actor: Bryan Cranston (Trumbo), Matt Damon (The Martian)Leonardo Di Caprio (The Revenant) Michael Fassbender (Steve Jobs) Eddie Redmayne (The Danish Girl)
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Should win: Bryan Cranston Will win: LEONARDO DI CAPRIO (because he’s long overdue an Oscar)
Best Actress: Cate Blanchett (Carol) Brie Larson (Room) Jennifer Lawrence (Joy) Charlotte Rampling (45 Years) Saoirse Ronan (Brooklyn)
Should win: Jennifer Lawrence Will win: BRIE LARSON (because the Academy loves anointing new stars)
Best Supporting Actor: Christian Bale (The Big Short) Tom Hardy (The Revenant) Mark Ruffalo (Spotlight) Mark Rylance (Bridge of Spies) Sylvester Stallone (Creed)
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Should win: Christian Bale Will win: SYLVESTER STALLONE (Because of a best ever performance of a character he created 40 years ago and as the chance to reward a sentimental favorite is irresistible)
Best Supporting Actress: Jennifer Jason Leigh (The Hateful Eight) Rooney Mara (Carol) Rachel McAdams (Spotlight) Alicia Vickander (The Danish Girl) Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs)
Should win: Alicia Vickander Will win: ALICIA VICKANDER (Because this fast rising talent was also great in Ex-Machina and a string of other recent films)
Best Director: Adam McKay (The Big Short) George Miller (Mad Max:Fury Road) Alejandro G. Inarritu (The Revenant) Lenny Abrahamson (Room) Tom McCarthy (Spotlight)
Should win: George Miller Will win: ALEJANDRO G. INARRITU (For immediately following up Birdman with another much admired film)
Best picture: The Big Short Bridge of Spies Brooklyn Mad Max: Fury Road The Martian The Revenant Room Spotlight
Should win: Straight Outta Compton (but it wasn’t nominated) Will win: SPOTLIGHT (the best of the bunch – plus, personally, I love a film where journalists are superheroes)
*Meanwhile I’ll be competing for my own trophies in Oscar week as a nominee for February 24 ceremony The Toscars. That’s the short comedy films ceremony which rewards parody versions of movies nominated for Oscars. I have written and directed a comedy version of Spotlight called Spotlite: The Farce Awakens. Will I be a winner there? Hope so – but the Toscars is harder to predict!
By SANDRO MONETTI, Celebrity Insider Tour Director